{"id":807,"date":"2021-06-11T13:14:56","date_gmt":"2021-06-11T11:14:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aquatool.webs.upv.es\/aqt\/?page_id=807"},"modified":"2021-06-11T13:25:54","modified_gmt":"2021-06-11T11:25:54","slug":"aqt-risk","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/aquatool.webs.upv.es\/aqt\/aqt-risk\/","title":{"rendered":"AQT-RISK"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-page\" data-elementor-id=\"807\" class=\"elementor elementor-807\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-21c1fe68 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"21c1fe68\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-7bc217de\" data-id=\"7bc217de\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5f4943 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"5f4943\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">M\u00f3dulo para el an\u00e1lisis de riesgos en la gesti\u00f3n de sistemas de recursos h\u00eddricos con paso tiempo variable.<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-76315c2e elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"76315c2e\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-5186d014\" data-id=\"5186d014\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5349f863 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"5349f863\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h5 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">M\u00f3dulos disponibles<\/h5>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-10c945fb elementor-widget elementor-widget-wp-widget-nav_menu\" data-id=\"10c945fb\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"wp-widget-nav_menu.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"menu-aqt-tiempo-variable-container\"><ul id=\"menu-aqt-tiempo-variable\" class=\"menu\"><li id=\"menu-item-784\" class=\"menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-784\"><a href=\"https:\/\/aquatool.webs.upv.es\/aqt\/aquatool-2021\/\">Aquatool 2025<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"menu-item-1054\" class=\"menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-1054\"><a href=\"https:\/\/aquatool.webs.upv.es\/aqt\/aquatool-geo\/\">GeoAquaTool<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"menu-item-797\" class=\"menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-797\"><a href=\"https:\/\/aquatool.webs.upv.es\/aqt\/aqt-sim\/\">AQT-SIM<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"menu-item-806\" class=\"menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-806\"><a href=\"https:\/\/aquatool.webs.upv.es\/aqt\/aqt-opt\/\">AQT-OPT<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"menu-item-821\" class=\"menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-821\"><a href=\"https:\/\/aquatool.webs.upv.es\/aqt\/aqt-cal\/\">AQT-CAL<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"menu-item-812\" class=\"menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-812\"><a href=\"https:\/\/aquatool.webs.upv.es\/aqt\/aqt-risk\/\">AQT-RISK<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"menu-item-832\" class=\"menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-832\"><a href=\"https:\/\/aquatool.webs.upv.es\/aqt\/descargas-2\/\">Descargas<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"menu-item-842\" class=\"menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-842\"><a href=\"https:\/\/aquatool.webs.upv.es\/aqt\/documentos\/\">Documentos<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"menu-item-1676\" class=\"menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-1676\"><a href=\"https:\/\/aquatool.webs.upv.es\/aqt\/ejercicios-2\/\">Ejercicios con GeoAquaTool<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul><\/div>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-465aec81\" data-id=\"465aec81\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-40cbc2a2 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"40cbc2a2\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">El m<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">\u00f3dulo\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">AQT<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">-RISK<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">\u00a0ha sido desarrollado en base a<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">l<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">os<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">n\u00facleos de c\u00e1lculo de los\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">m<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">\u00f3dulos\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">AQT<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">-SIM<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">,\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">AQT<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">-OPT y\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">AQT<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">&#8211;<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">CAL<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">, <\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">pero orientado a un uso similar al que se hac\u00eda con el anterior m\u00f3dulo SIMRISK. Esto es,\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">ha\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">sido dise\u00f1ado para su uso en<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">\u00a0la estimaci\u00f3n del riesgo en la gesti\u00f3n a corto\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">plazo de Sistemas Complejos de Recursos H\u00eddricos. <\/span><\/p><p><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">Es por ello\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">que<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">, aunque la definici\u00f3n f\u00edsica de los esquemas es muy similar a la de\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">los m\u00f3dulos\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">AQT<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">-SIM\/OPT\/<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">CAL<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun BCX0 SCXW255489834\">, la filosof\u00eda del modelo y los resultados proporcionados son totalmente distintos. En este caso los resultados informar\u00e1n sobre el riesgo de fallo en la gesti\u00f3n a corto o medio plazo del sistema.\u00a0<\/span>AQT-RISK se dise\u00f1a como un m\u00f3dulo para realizar estimaciones probabil\u00edsticas de evoluci\u00f3n de los flujos de agua, de la calidad de la misma, y de indicadores cuantitativos, ambientales, y otros, con paso de tiempo b\u00e1sico variable, desde diario hasta mensual, para horizontes temporales de d\u00edas, semanas o meses.<\/p><p>\u00a0<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6e3e7584 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"6e3e7584\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Dada una situaci\u00f3n inicial del sistema, el modelo puede ser utilizado entre otras finalidades para:<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><ul><li data-leveltext=\"-\" data-font=\"Times New Roman\" data-listid=\"4\" aria-setsize=\"-1\" data-aria-posinset=\"0\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Determinar la probabilidad de fallo de una demanda, para periodos futuros.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559685&quot;:1560,&quot;335559991&quot;:284}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li><li data-leveltext=\"-\" data-font=\"Times New Roman\" data-listid=\"4\" aria-setsize=\"-1\" data-aria-posinset=\"0\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Determinar probabilidades de distintos niveles de fallo en una demanda.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559685&quot;:1560,&quot;335559991&quot;:284}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li><li data-leveltext=\"-\" data-font=\"Times New Roman\" data-listid=\"4\" aria-setsize=\"-1\" data-aria-posinset=\"0\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Determinar la probabilidad de estado de los embalses, para periodos futuros.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559685&quot;:1560,&quot;335559991&quot;:284}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li><\/ul><ul><li data-leveltext=\"-\" data-font=\"Times New Roman\" data-listid=\"4\" aria-setsize=\"-1\" data-aria-posinset=\"0\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Determinar la probabilidad de estado de los acu\u00edferos para periodos futuros.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559685&quot;:1560,&quot;335559991&quot;:284}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li><li data-leveltext=\"-\" data-font=\"Times New Roman\" data-listid=\"4\" aria-setsize=\"-1\" data-aria-posinset=\"0\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Determinar la probabilidad de fallo en un caudal m\u00ednimo\/ecol\u00f3gico, para periodos futuros.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559685&quot;:1560,&quot;335559991&quot;:284}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li><li data-leveltext=\"-\" data-font=\"Times New Roman\" data-listid=\"4\" aria-setsize=\"-1\" data-aria-posinset=\"0\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Determinar la probabilidad\u00a0el\u00a0estado de calidad de las masas de agua, para periodos futuros.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559685&quot;:1560,&quot;335559991&quot;:284}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li><li data-leveltext=\"-\" data-font=\"Times New Roman\" data-listid=\"4\" aria-setsize=\"-1\" data-aria-posinset=\"0\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Estudiar el efecto que distintos niveles de restricciones y otras medidas de mitigaci\u00f3n\u00a0las demandas tienen\u00a0en dichas probabilidades de fallo futuro.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559685&quot;:1560,&quot;335559991&quot;:284}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li><\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-53576c67 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"53576c67\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-52b56453\" data-id=\"52b56453\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>M\u00f3dulo para el an\u00e1lisis de riesgos en la gesti\u00f3n de sistemas de recursos h\u00eddricos con paso tiempo variable. M\u00f3dulos disponibles El m\u00f3dulo\u00a0AQT-RISK\u00a0ha sido desarrollado en base a\u00a0los\u00a0n\u00facleos de c\u00e1lculo de los\u00a0m\u00f3dulos\u00a0AQT-SIM,\u00a0AQT-OPT y\u00a0AQT-CAL, pero orientado a un uso similar al que se hac\u00eda con el anterior m\u00f3dulo SIMRISK. Esto es,\u00a0ha\u00a0sido dise\u00f1ado para su uso en\u00a0la estimaci\u00f3n &#8230; <a title=\"AQT-RISK\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/aquatool.webs.upv.es\/aqt\/aqt-risk\/\" aria-label=\"Leer m\u00e1s sobre AQT-RISK\">Leer m\u00e1s<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-807","page","type-page","status-publish"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/aquatool.webs.upv.es\/aqt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/807","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/aquatool.webs.upv.es\/aqt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/aquatool.webs.upv.es\/aqt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/aquatool.webs.upv.es\/aqt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/aquatool.webs.upv.es\/aqt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=807"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/aquatool.webs.upv.es\/aqt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/807\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":817,"href":"https:\/\/aquatool.webs.upv.es\/aqt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/807\/revisions\/817"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/aquatool.webs.upv.es\/aqt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=807"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}